When it comes to trying to determine who had the most accurate projections, there are a lot of things to consider. And, if you try to consider them all, you won’t have a post – you’ll have  a book.

You can use straight statistics, or you can bias-adjust. You can use whole stats. Rate stats. […]

Incremental update, as a few of players and rumors start sorting themselves out.

Kansas City – the biggest change is probably in Kansas City, where Yordano Ventura’s unfortunate death blows a 30-start hole in what was already a stretched-out rotation. Ventura’s loss does far more to hurt the team than picking up Brandon Moss helped.

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Happy Birthday, MLK. And, thanks to the three-day weekend that comes from that, I was able to complete my first release of 2017 projections. Projections which, if 2016 is any guide, will be arguably the best projections you can find.

For those of you stumbling into this site from the Google, my name is […]

http://www.claydavenport.com/dt/fernajo02-pitching.shtml

Batting Pitching Fielding Minors Projections    JOSE FERNANDEZ Born 7-31-1992 Bats R Throws R Actual Pitching Statistics NAME Hnd AGE YEAR TEAM W L SV ERA G GS TBF IP H R ER HR BB SO HBP IBB WP BK CG SHO JOSE FERNANDEZ […]

Updated park factors for all teams through the first 30 days of the season.

I use a weighted mean park factor for all teams – a five year moving average, weighted 3-2-1 for the one-year factors. So the park factors for 2010 use (3*2010PF + 2*2011PF + 2*2009PF + 2008PF + 2012PF)/9, assuming they are […]

Debut: April 3, 2016. Pinch-hit for Adam Wainwright in the top of the 7th; struck out.

Card(s): minors, majors

Hazelbaker is a 28-year-old rookie, who parlayed a .304/.373/.543 (.334 EqA) spring performance into a spot on the Opening Day roster (thanks also in part to a late injury to Ruben […]

Got the code running for spring training statistics last night.

Baselines
Cactus 5.30 R/G, cure .279/.347/.451, 3.19 BB and 7.36 K/9 inn
Grapefruit 4.83, .267/.340/.418, 3.43 and 7.20

Top EqRs so far, with 6:
Bryan Holaday, Detroit, .631 eqa/6 eqr
Scott Sizemore, Washington, .571/6
Mike Trout, LA […]

Changes since last weekend:

Chase Anderson                            traded from Arizona to Milwaukee
Joins a Brewer rotation with nine potential starters and it isn’t completely
obvious who the best 1 is, let alone the best 5. FWIW, he rates as the […]

My first run (that I’m willing to talk about) of projections for the coming season is now up on the 2016 Projected Standings tab. They have also been used to create a new Playoff Chances Report. And, viagra order of course, site the individual projections that go into are […]

In 2015, Jung-ho Kang became the first hitter to jump directly from the Korean Baseball Organization (KBO) to the major leagues.  This year, two more hitters – Byung-ho Park, for Minnesota, and Hyun-Soo Kim for Baltimore – will attempt to make the same trip.

Here’s a a draft that I worked on last January but […]