I sent the latest update in this afternoon. The most significant change from the programming side is a bugfix that was giving pitchers too many innings, by about 3%. So pitchers who did have 200 innings got moved down to about 194, without any of their hit/run/walk/strikeout numbers changing (those numbers had already been […]

I know I haven’t written anything for a week, but I’ve been hard at work. For the last week I’ve been working on making improvements to the forecast algorithm, particularly the pitching side. Through December and January, I was able to incorporate the component scores into the hitter forecasts, and produce an improvement over the […]

The Nationals added Edwin Jackson to their rotation, which gave me a good reason to run another update.

He’s a no-doubt rotation member, and actually goes straight to #1 on my rankings for them if you rank by innings. He, Gio Gonzalez, Stephen Strasburg, and Jordan Zimmermann make a pretty strong front four – perhaps […]