It is a new year and a new season.

First cut at 2025 projections are here. I think my pitcher projections, in particular, have had too much regression to the mean in the last couple of years; I’ve cut back on that. My validation script says they got better (for 2022-24 pitchers with […]

Say Hey

In pre-season I wrote: the league leader was putting up numbers between 70-78, while the third-best mark was in the 54-64 range. My best guess right now is that by the end of 2023 we will see numbers about like that.

At the end of the year we had Ronald Acuna leading the majors with […]

These are the dates when teams have first hit either a 100% or a 0% chance of making the playoffs in 2023 (according to my Playoff Odds; click on team name for their day-by-day chances). It is not the same thing as mathematically clinching or eliminated – but does represent the 1 in a […]

Here are the spring training stats for 2023 (thorugh 3/15), compared with the (shortened) 2022 spring training totals.

In Arizona

Year

AB

H

DB

TP

HR

BB

HBP

SO

SB

CS

2022

9626

2565

535

60

410

919

154

2569

180

66

2023

9127

2463

509

72

318

1040

139

2392

268

60

[…]

Florida
https://claydavenport.com/stats/webpages/2023/2023pageGrprealALL.shtml

Arizona
https://claydavenport.com/stats/webpages/2023/2023pageCacrealALL.shtml

The stats projections for the 2023 season are now up. Actually they first went up around Christmas, but I’ve been doing an unusual amount of tinkering this time around. Updates should happen at least a couple of times a week between now and the start of the season – which kicks off on March 30 […]

I don’t know more than anyone else when games might start being played…but I do have my first look at team projections here.

Just like last year, it looks like the Dodgers and Padres are the best two teams. The Padres collapsed, epically; the Dodgers made it to the LCS before losing […]

My spare time isn’t what it used to be…NOAA keeps me busy. But I finally do have the new MLB pbp files parsed enough to run all the split data I need. So all of the player, league, and team should be back to having those breakdowns. Not a fan of MLB’s chosen format, although […]

The “DTs by league” pages are not updating right now, because I can’t get the play-by-play data I use to build them from MLB. Trying to figure out what’s gone wrong in my connections. The EQA report is mostly fine – except for splits data which, once again, requires the PBP files.