Those of you with long memories may remember that I have my own Hall of Fame rating scale. It is a purely objective system, based only on the player’s season by season WARP ratings – no postseason, no All-Star games, no subjective flash, no drugs, no gambling. It isn’t meant to be perfect, and it […]

in translated statistics.

EQA  .260

BA  .265, OBA .335, SLG .415, OPS .750

For 650 PA, it comes out to about 579 AB, 153 H, 29 DB, 3 TP, 17 HR, 55 BB, 108 SO, 10 SB, 5 CS, 80 R, 76 RBI, and 74 EQR.

For pitchers, 198 IP, 198 H, 22 HR, […]

To be honest I first set up the 2018 projections a little after Thanksgiving, but never felt like writing up anything about them. At this stage – with pitchers and catchers still having four more weeks of liberty before reporting for duty, and most of the free agents still free – there’s an awful […]

Sorry, folks, for the lack of updates over the last three weeks, but I was actually out of the country on vacation . I hope you’ll forgive me for not announcing in advance, on a public forum, “I’ll be out of my house for the next three weeks!”

I knew some reports would suffer without […]

This is just too far out there not to pass on.

I had seven players in my database with the last name “Pantoja”: Fidel, Jhonny, Thormar,another Jhonny, Jorge, Alexis, and Yorvin, with birthdates ranging from 1950 to 1997.

This morning’s stat update from MLB had the professional debut, for the Athletics in the Dominican Summer […]

I guess you could call these my power rankings. All major league teams, ranked by WARP1, compared to win percentages. By way of comparison, I looked up Fangraphs team WAR while I was working on it.

Team Wins Losses WARP (me) WAR (Fangraphs) Dodgers 39 25 27.8 21.5 Astros 44 20 26.6 21.5 Yankees 37 […]

The Ides of March are come – but not yet gone.

As a round of cuts hits the spring teams, I don’t have cuts – I have adds. I’ve been digging through a slew of other stats, and now have translations up for – get this – 17 leagues not previously listed for 2016.

I’ve […]

Similar to the last one, for hitters. I believe I used a 50 IP requirement, with a caveat for anyone projected to get at least 5 saves. There were 229 pitchers in the totals.

Just going to drop everything in at once, starting with 2016’s best. Pecota really killed it on pitchers last year, […]

When it comes to trying to determine who had the most accurate projections, there are a lot of things to consider. And, if you try to consider them all, you won’t have a post – you’ll have  a book.

You can use straight statistics, or you can bias-adjust. You can use whole stats. Rate stats. […]

Incremental update, as a few of players and rumors start sorting themselves out.

Kansas City – the biggest change is probably in Kansas City, where Yordano Ventura’s unfortunate death blows a 30-start hole in what was already a stretched-out rotation. Ventura’s loss does far more to hurt the team than picking up Brandon Moss helped.

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