First things first – I now have the way too soon, already out of date, Team Projections for 2021 up and available.

Of course, posting them on the day of the non-tender deadline means most teams have at least one player in my projection that is already compromised. And of course, teams have yet […]

Welcome to anyone who might be checking in on me for the first time. Or for the first time in a long time. Either way is good for me.

As you can plainly see, I don’t write that often. At heart, I am a number-cruncher, not a wordsmith, and this site is about the numbers […]

Japanese stats are for 2019 are up, Central League and Pacific.

The difficulty rating for the leagues are between the values for our AA and AAA leagues – perhaps a little closer to AA, but definitely in between.

Parks in the JPL tend to be pretty neutral overall. They all have a three-year […]

Just posted a new update a new update for all 2019 projections. No drastic changes –  still waiting for the big shoes (Manny and Bryce) to drop.

Congratulations to the new Hall of Famers –  Mariano Rivera, Roy Halladay, Edgar Martinez, and Mike Mussina. It is perhaps the first time […]

Catching up on the Dozier and Lowrie signings that got lost in the list of “arbitration avoided” news Friday and Saturday. Dozier should be a big help to Washington, strengthening a basically vacant position while freeing Kendrick up to provide some depth (which is still lacking there.) As far as Lowrie to the Mets – […]

Nothing like a snowy weekend to get me down to making my final go-overs and send the newest projections out to the world.

I’ve been wrestling with choices for how to handle the pitcher numbers…had a preliminary release last week which I did not publicize, although I know some of you noticed…and decided there […]

when lo0king at spring training stats.

Florida games:    .254 batting average, .331 onbase, .414 slugging, 9.4 runs per game

Arizona games:   .275   (+21!)         .351 (+20)   .469 (+55!),  11.5  (+2.1)

Offense is 22% higher in Cactus games than Grapefruit games.

On top of that, teams have wildly different run environments, even […]

I pulled this out from the comments because I thought the answers might be helpful to more than one person.. With thanks to Josh Clayton…

Hello Clay. Thank you for your work – I really enjoy the player comps. Why do some of a player’s comps change when the Organizational DT reports are generated every […]

Those of you with long memories may remember that I have my own Hall of Fame rating scale. It is a purely objective system, based only on the player’s season by season WARP ratings – no postseason, no All-Star games, no subjective flash, no drugs, no gambling. It isn’t meant to be perfect, and it […]

in translated statistics.

EQA  .260

BA  .265, OBA .335, SLG .415, OPS .750

For 650 PA, it comes out to about 579 AB, 153 H, 29 DB, 3 TP, 17 HR, 55 BB, 108 SO, 10 SB, 5 CS, 80 R, 76 RBI, and 74 EQR.

For pitchers, 198 IP, 198 H, 22 HR, […]