Happy New Year – Welcome to 2025

It is a new year and a new season.

First cut at 2025 projections are here. I think my pitcher projections, in particular, have had too much regression to the mean in the last couple of years; I’ve cut back on that. My validation script says they got better (for 2022-24 pitchers with at least 100 innings) than last year’s model, so fingers crossed that holds up.

Playoff chances based on those standings are over here.

And I’d like to thank Terry Thorley for pointing out to me that pages were not jumping when the menus were changed. I had noticed this behavior myself when looking things up through my phone, but had never invested the effort to find out what was going on. Turns out one of my javascripts was referencing http instead of https, and strict browsers were shutting it down. It is fixed, at least back to 1946 pages; I need to re-run pre-1946 pages , hopefully today.