I guess you could call these my power rankings. All major league teams, ranked by WARP1, compared to win percentages. By way of comparison, I looked up Fangraphs team WAR while I was working on it.
Team Wins Losses WARP (me) WAR (Fangraphs) Dodgers 39 25 27.8 21.5 Astros 44 20 26.6 21.5 Yankees 37 […]
The Ides of March are come – but not yet gone.
As a round of cuts hits the spring teams, I don’t have cuts – I have adds. I’ve been digging through a slew of other stats, and now have translations up for – get this – 17 leagues not previously listed for 2016.
Similar to the last one, for hitters. I believe I used a 50 IP requirement, with a caveat for anyone projected to get at least 5 saves. There were 229 pitchers in the totals.
Just going to drop everything in at once, starting with 2016’s best. Pecota really killed it on pitchers last year, […]
When it comes to trying to determine who had the most accurate projections, there are a lot of things to consider. And, if you try to consider them all, you won’t have a post – you’ll have a book.
You can use straight statistics, or you can bias-adjust. You can use whole stats. Rate stats. […]
Incremental update, as a few of players and rumors start sorting themselves out.
Kansas City – the biggest change is probably in Kansas City, where Yordano Ventura’s unfortunate death blows a 30-start hole in what was already a stretched-out rotation. Ventura’s loss does far more to hurt the team than picking up Brandon Moss helped.
Happy Birthday, MLK. And, thanks to the three-day weekend that comes from that, I was able to complete my first release of 2017 projections. Projections which, if 2016 is any guide, will be arguably the best projections you can find.
For those of you stumbling into this site from the Google, my name is […]
Batting Pitching Fielding Minors Projections JOSE FERNANDEZ Born 7-31-1992 Bats R Throws R Actual Pitching Statistics NAME Hnd AGE YEAR TEAM W L SV ERA G GS TBF IP H R ER HR BB SO HBP IBB WP BK CG SHO JOSE FERNANDEZ […]
Updated park factors for all teams through the first 30 days of the season.
I use a weighted mean park factor for all teams – a five year moving average, weighted 3-2-1 for the one-year factors. So the park factors for 2010 use (3*2010PF + 2*2011PF + 2*2009PF + 2008PF + 2012PF)/9, assuming they are […]
Debut: April 3, 2016. Pinch-hit for Adam Wainwright in the top of the 7th; struck out.
Hazelbaker is a 28-year-old rookie, who parlayed a .304/.373/.543 (.334 EqA) spring performance into a spot on the Opening Day roster (thanks also in part to a late injury to Ruben […]
Got the code running for spring training statistics last night.
Cactus 5.30 R/G, cure .279/.347/.451, 3.19 BB and 7.36 K/9 inn
Grapefruit 4.83, .267/.340/.418, 3.43 and 7.20
Top EqRs so far, with 6:
Bryan Holaday, Detroit, .631 eqa/6 eqr
Scott Sizemore, Washington, .571/6
Mike Trout, LA […]
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