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Catching up on the Dozier and Lowrie signings that got lost in the list of “arbitration avoided” news Friday and Saturday. Dozier should be a big help to Washington, strengthening a basically vacant position while freeing Kendrick up to provide some depth (which is still lacking there.) As far as Lowrie to the Mets – … Read more

Nothing like a snowy weekend to get me down to making my final go-overs and send the newest projections out to the world. I’ve been wrestling with choices for how to handle the pitcher numbers…had a preliminary release last week which I did not publicize, although I know some of you noticed…and decided there were … Read more

when lo0king at spring training stats.   Florida games:    .254 batting average, .331 onbase, .414 slugging, 9.4 runs per game Arizona games:   .275   (+21!)         .351 (+20)   .469 (+55!),  11.5  (+2.1) Offense is 22% higher in Cactus games than Grapefruit games.   On top of that, teams have wildly different run environments, even within the … Read more

I pulled this out from the comments because I thought the answers might be helpful to more than one person.. With thanks to Josh Clayton… Hello Clay. Thank you for your work – I really enjoy the player comps. Why do some of a player’s comps change when the Organizational DT reports are generated every … Read more

Those of you with long memories may remember that I have my own Hall of Fame rating scale. It is a purely objective system, based only on the player’s season by season WARP ratings – no postseason, no All-Star games, no subjective flash, no drugs, no gambling. It isn’t meant to be perfect, and it … Read more

in translated statistics. EQA  .260 BA  .265, OBA .335, SLG .415, OPS .750 For 650 PA, it comes out to about 579 AB, 153 H, 29 DB, 3 TP, 17 HR, 55 BB, 108 SO, 10 SB, 5 CS, 80 R, 76 RBI, and 74 EQR.   For pitchers, 198 IP, 198 H, 22 HR, … Read more

To be honest I first set up the 2018 projections a little after Thanksgiving, but never felt like writing up anything about them. At this stage – with pitchers and catchers still having four more weeks of liberty before reporting for duty, and most of the free agents still free – there’s an awful lot … Read more

Sorry, folks, for the lack of updates over the last three weeks, but I was actually out of the country on vacation . I hope you’ll forgive me for not announcing in advance, on a public forum, “I’ll be out of my house for the next three weeks!” I knew some reports would suffer without … Read more

This is just too far out there not to pass on. I had seven players in my database with the last name “Pantoja”: Fidel, Jhonny, Thormar,another Jhonny, Jorge, Alexis, and Yorvin, with birthdates ranging from 1950 to 1997. This morning’s stat update from MLB had the professional debut, for the Athletics in the Dominican Summer … Read more

I guess you could call these my power rankings. All major league teams, ranked by WARP1, compared to win percentages. By way of comparison, I looked up Fangraphs team WAR while I was working on it. Team Wins Losses WARP (me) WAR (Fangraphs) Dodgers 39 25 27.8 21.5 Astros 44 20 26.6 21.5 Yankees 37 … Read more