Dodgers over Braves, 85%

Here’s how their hitters and pitchers matched up:

                           174/199     271/213    276/238    264/245
                          Kershaw(L)  Greinke(R)  Ryu(L)    Nolasco(R)
McCann (L)   227/307       152          320        241       312
Freeman(L)   285/339       191          353        303       344
EJohnson(B)  216/211       165          220        198       214
CJohnson(R)  338/280       259          229        309       264
Simmons(R)   253/254       194          208        232       239
Gattis(R)    285/268       218          220        261       253
Upton(R)     172/231       132          189        157       218
Heyward(L)   288/279       193          291        306       283

Net Braves                .1863        .2519      .2478     .2595  

                           267/249    211/246    294/219     303/240
                          Medlen(R)   Minor(L)  Teheran(R)  Garcia(R)
AEllis(R)     261/259       248         247       218         239
Gonzalez(L)   278/304       312         226       344         354
MEllis(R)     279/251       240         264       211         232
Ramirez(R)    387/353       338         366       297         326
Uribe(R)      285/289       277         270       243         267
Crawford(L)   205/300       308         166       339         350
Schumacher(L) 241/259       266         196       293         302
Puig(R)       336/320       306         318       270         295

Net Dodgers                 .2772      .2558      .2709      .2875

The matchups give the Dodgers an advantage, not just in every game, but in every permutation of matchups except a Minor vs Nolasco battle.

Game 1, Kershaw v Medlen – Dodgers 87.9%
Game 2, Greinke v Minor – Dodgers 51.9%
Game 3, Ryu v Teheran – Dodgers 61.0%
Game 4, Nolasco v Garcia – Dodgers 62.5%
Game 5, Kershaw v Medlen – Dodgers 87.9%

That works out to an expected Dodger series victory 85.45% of the time.