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Three days later, and there’s a host of changes already made, which you can see here. I spent six hours yesterday going through the pitcher projection codes, and did track down a couple of bugs, mostly in the way that the BABIP numbers (and thus hits) would track for each pitcher. This dramatically changes some … Read more

This will be regularly updated in the “Projected Standings” tab on the header menu. You can access all teams and players from the links.   Clay Davenport’s Projections for 2012 generated on 1-21-2012 AL East Won Lost Runs Runs A BOS 98 64 828 662 NYY 92 70 808 696 TBY 84 78 687 662 … Read more

Yoennis Cespedes has made quite a splash since leaving the communist paradise of Cuba, aligning himself with some very clever marketers and well-produced promotional videos. Scouts are raving about his power and his speed, and there is some anticipation of a bidding war for his services once he clears the regulatory hurdles that come with … Read more

Looking back at trades and moves since Christmas: Red Sox: Traded Josh Reddick, Miles Head, and Raul Alcantara to Oakland for Andrew Bailey and Ryan Sweeney. Signed Rich Hill. By adding Bailey to their bullpen, who should immediately take over as the closer (sorry, Mark Melancon), I’m reasonably certain that at least one of Alfredo … Read more

10 years, 254 Megabucks. Ten years. That’s an eternity in baseball, particularly when you are dealing with a player who has already passed the age of 30. I have a new card for him up here. Lets start with the projections for this year and beyond, down at the bottom of the page: Year Age … Read more

A quick look at how the last 12 years of pennant races would have looked like with a second wild card: In six of the last eight NL races, the carte deux team finished just 1 game behind the actual wild card winner. From 2001 until now,  the fifth-best NL record never been more than … Read more

Not that it shows on the site, but its been a pretty busy week for me with baseball ideas. The first priority has been to clean up and expand the DT pages (“By League” on the subject line). I’ve gotten a year key added in, and it does seem to be working for the years … Read more

One of the biggest plays in game two came in the ninth inning, when Josh Hamilton lofted a fly ball to right field. Ian Kinsler, on third base, at the time, scored; Elvis Andrus, on second, tagged and went to third. He’d score the winning run on another sacrifice fly from the next batter. We … Read more

The other night, I finally got myself together to hunt through the grimmeries and other web pages of lore to find the right set of incantations that would allow me to produce a graphic more like what I’ve always wanted for the Postseason Odds Reports;. The new versions look something like this   Urg. Go … Read more

The question I have in the debt limit crisis – which, removing the passionate politics from the equation, you have to admit was an incredible large-scale psychological study, sure to spur armchair analysis for years to come – is the extent to which the president campaigned for a cause other than compromise. From my, admittedly … Read more