As so often happens, the rollout didn’t go quite as expected.

Spring data didn’t actually start loading until Monday, but should be on all player cards now. (Just the 2013 spring data).

The pitchers forecast pages were supposed to become analogous to the hitter pages – primarily through the addition of their top 20 comps. […]

Just as I’m getting ready to throw in the towel, I finally track down the bugs in the pitching projections that have been driving me up a wall for more than a month. And damned if it isn’t always the stupidest, piddlingest crap that is the hardest to find – I’d managed to switch the […]

No sooner do I say I am back, then I come down with an inflammation of my stomach that’s wiped me out for a week.

I estimate that my gas generation this past week has vaulted me into a top 10 source for climate change.

Not that I ever really left. Kept updating everything behind the scenes, just didn’t say anything about doing it. I guess I hit a point where I felt like I was saying the same things over and over again, and wasn’t coming up with anything new. So I walked away for awhile, maintaining things as […]

I’m in Phoenix this weekend, doing a interview with NHK television, primarily talking about the prospects for Japanese players in the US…which this year means lots of Yu Darvish. If you’ve seen the projections I’ve made, then you already know I’m very bullish on him. Simply put, he has the best statistics of any […]

I sent the latest update in this afternoon. The most significant change from the programming side is a bugfix that was giving pitchers too many innings, by about 3%. So pitchers who did have 200 innings got moved down to about 194, without any of their hit/run/walk/strikeout numbers changing (those numbers had already been […]

I know I haven’t written anything for a week, but I’ve been hard at work. For the last week I’ve been working on making improvements to the forecast algorithm, particularly the pitching side. Through December and January, I was able to incorporate the component scores into the hitter forecasts, and produce an improvement over the […]

The Nationals added Edwin Jackson to their rotation, which gave me a good reason to run another update.

He’s a no-doubt rotation member, and actually goes straight to #1 on my rankings for them if you rank by innings. He, Gio Gonzalez, Stephen Strasburg, and Jordan Zimmermann make a pretty strong front four – perhaps […]

Three days later, and there’s a host of changes already made, which you can see here.

I spent six hours yesterday going through the pitcher projection codes, and did track down a couple of bugs, mostly in the way that the BABIP numbers (and thus hits) would track for each pitcher. This dramatically changes […]

This will be regularly updated in the “Projected Standings” tab on the header menu. You can access all teams and players from the links.

Clay Davenport’s Projections for 2012

generated on 1-21-2012

AL East Won Lost Runs Runs A BOS 98 64 828 662 NYY 92 70 808 696 TBY 84 […]