These come from my million-run Postseason Odds page, which will update daily through the season.

Average wins by position in AL East:  100.4 91.4 84.8 77.4 58.1 
AL East    Pct3  Avg W  Avg L  Champions  Wild Card   Playoffs 
Yankees    .593   97.5   64.5   63.58508   23.74102   87.32610 
Blue Jays  .529   86.1   75.9   13.51403   31.84269   45.35672 
Rays       .525   85.9   76.1   13.07292   31.31225   44.38516 
Red Sox    .518   84.2   77.8    9.81512   27.01932   36.83444 
Orioles    .370   58.4  103.6     .01285     .10404     .11689 

The Yankees are an overwhelming favorite to win the division. The 
Orioles have the lowest playoff odds of any team in the majors. At 
least one of the remaining teams should take a wild card, and 
there's a pretty good chance that both wild cards come from the 
East.

Average wins by position in AL Central:  94.7 86.5 79.7 72.6 63.6 
AL Central Pct3  Avg W  Avg L  Champions  Wild Card   Playoffs 
White Sox  .528   88.7   73.3   43.41552   16.64380   60.05932 
Twins      .527   88.1   73.9   40.12318   17.02435   57.14754 
Clevelands .478   79.6   82.4   11.56375    9.88443   21.44818 
Royals     .444   73.7   88.3    3.96877    3.91370    7.88246 
Tigers     .406   67.1   94.9     .92878     .95012    1.87890 

The Twins and White Sox are rated pretty close to even, with me 
giving the barest edge to the White Sox. The ex-Sockalexises have a 
chance, if their pitching can carry them through. The Royals have 
their best chance in several years, and some prospects whispering 
hopes of even better times ahead. I expect the Tigers to challenge 
the Orioles for the barrel bottom.

Average wins by position in AL west:  96.7 85.3 78.9 73.1 65.7 
AL West    Pct3  Avg W  Avg L  Champions  Wild Card   Playoffs 
Astros     .576   95.2   66.8   77.30096    7.74413   85.04509 
Athletics  .489   80.0   82.0   10.00943   12.37409   22.38351 
Angels     .477   77.4   84.6    6.30802    8.42805   14.73607 
Mariners   .461   75.2   86.8    4.22883    5.91044   10.13927 
Rangers    .441   71.9   90.1    2.15278    3.10758    5.26035 

The Astros get rated as the single most likely division champion, 
thanks to their own strengths and contenders' weaknesses. 

Average wins by AL First Wild Card:  93.1 
Average wins by AL Second Wild Card:  88.8 

Average wins by position in NL East:  95.8 88.5 82.5 76.0 65.3 
NL East    Pct3  Avg W  Avg L  Champions  Wild Card   Playoffs 
Mets       .557   88.7   73.3   36.46963   17.94029   54.40992 
Braves     .554   88.3   73.7   34.61201   17.93041   52.54242 
Nationals  .528   83.9   78.1   18.43439   14.48495   32.91933 
Phillies   .507   80.1   81.9    9.84990    9.46676   19.31666 
Marlins    .435   67.1   94.9     .63407     .78651    1.42058 

A highly contentious division, with almost everyone having a chance. 

Average wins by position in NL Central:  93.3 86.1 80.3 73.7 61.2 
NL Central Pct3  Avg W  Avg L  Champions  Wild Card   Playoffs 
Brewers    .529   86.1   75.9   36.00577   10.24474   46.25051 
Cardinals  .520   84.6   77.4   29.57912   10.05231   39.63143 
Reds       .507   82.3   79.7   21.18838    8.59095   29.77934 
Cubs       .491   79.2   82.8   12.87463    6.10106   18.97569 
Pirates    .394   62.4   99.6     .35211     .16244     .51455 

An even more contentious division, although the teams are all 1-5 
games behind the East group. It is the weakest division.

Average wins by position in NL West:  107.2 96.4 81.5 72.4 60.9 
NL West    Pct3  Avg W  Avg L  Champions  Wild Card   Playoffs 
Dodgers    .646  104.0   58.0   63.67985   32.50205   96.18190 
Padres     .620   99.1   62.9   35.21897   54.38710   89.60607 
Dbacks     .498   77.9   84.1     .75033   11.05648   11.80681 
Giants     .480   74.8   87.2     .34225    6.02418    6.36643 
Rockies    .412   62.8   99.2     .00860     .26977     .27837 

What seems very likely is that the Dodgers and Padres - with the two 
best projected records in the majors - will both advance to the 
playoffs, leaving the rest of the NL to fight over the remaining WC 
spot. 

Average wins by NL First Wild Card:  97.4 
Average wins by NL Second Wild Card:  90.0

 

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