Final Adjusted Standings for 2021

by Clay Davenport


Clay's Adjusted Standings
Welcome to the Adjusted Standings page, brought to you by Clay Davenport

Generated  Mon Oct 4 10:14:23 EDT 2021

Back to Current Adjusted Standings

Teams are sorted by division and third-order wins and losses.

Team             W    L       RS   RA   W1    L1    UEQR EQRA   W2    L2    AEQR AEQRA  W3    L3      D1    D2    D3  OppHEqA OppPEqA
Blue_Jays        91.  71.    846  663  99.1  62.8    871  690  98.5  63.4    860  684  98.1  63.8    -8.1  -7.5  -7.1   .2609  .2614
Rays            100.  62.    857  651 101.4  60.5    796  640  97.1  64.9    780  631  96.4  65.5    -1.4   2.9   3.6   .2614  .2622
Yankees          92.  70.    711  669  85.4  76.6    744  666  89.1  72.9    731  651  89.5  72.5     6.6   2.9   2.5   .2625  .2618
Red_Sox          92.  70.    829  749  88.7  73.3    832  794  84.5  77.5    833  781  85.9  76.1     3.3   7.5   6.1   .2618  .2599
Orioles          52. 110.    659  956  53.1 109.0    682  936  56.9 105.2    697  901  61.3 100.8    -1.1  -4.9  -9.3   .2640  .2577

Team             W    L       RS   RA   W1    L1    UEQR EQRA   W2    L2    AEQR AEQRA  W3    L3      D1    D2    D3  OppHEqA OppPEqA
White_Sox        93.  69.    796  636  97.5  64.5    802  640  97.6  64.3    773  648  94.0  68.0    -4.5  -4.6  -1.0   .2588  .2639
Indians          80.  82.    717  727  79.8  82.2    698  728  77.6  84.4    686  722  76.9  85.1     0.2   2.4   3.1   .2608  .2618
Twins            73.  89.    729  834  70.5  91.5    756  820  74.5  87.5    756  822  74.4  87.7     2.5  -1.5  -1.4   .2598  .2600
Royals           74.  88.    686  788  70.4  91.6    697  779  72.4  89.7    689  772  72.3  89.7     3.6   1.6   1.7   .2611  .2612
Tigers           77.  85.    697  756  74.7  87.3    697  790  71.3  90.7    691  789  70.8  91.3     2.3   5.7   6.2   .2602  .2610

Team             W    L       RS   RA   W1    L1    UEQR EQRA   W2    L2    AEQR AEQRA  W3    L3      D1    D2    D3  OppHEqA OppPEqA
Astros           95.  67.    863  658 101.2  60.8    860  650 101.7  60.2    842  662  98.8  63.1    -6.2  -6.7  -3.8   .2581  .2623
Athletics        86.  76.    743  687  86.7  75.2    743  703  85.0  77.0    738  701  84.6  77.4    -0.7   1.0   1.4   .2603  .2608
Angels           77.  85.    723  804  72.7  89.3    708  786  72.9  89.1    713  775  74.5  87.6     4.3   4.1   2.5   .2615  .2594
Mariners         90.  72.    697  748  75.5  86.5    661  752  71.2  90.9    656  744  71.5  90.5    14.5  18.8  18.5   .2612  .2608
Rangers          60. 102.    625  815  61.2 100.8    628  808  62.2  99.9    629  792  63.9  98.2    -1.2  -2.2  -3.9   .2622  .2598

Team             W    L       RS   RA   W1    L1    UEQR EQRA   W2    L2    AEQR AEQRA  W3    L3      D1    D2    D3  OppHEqA OppPEqA
Braves           88.  73.    790  656  94.2  66.8    770  664  91.4  69.6    768  670  90.5  70.5    -6.2  -3.4  -2.5   .2591  .2603
Phillies         82.  80.    734  745  79.7  82.3    730  720  81.9  80.1    736  725  82.0  80.0     2.3   0.1   0.0   .2593  .2592
Mets             77.  85.    636  668  77.3  84.8    657  651  81.5  80.5    660  652  81.7  80.3    -0.3  -4.5  -4.7   .2598  .2596
Nationals        65.  97.    724  820  71.3  90.7    776  815  77.0  85.0    795  829  77.6  84.5    -6.3 -12.0 -12.6   .2583  .2575
Marlins          67.  95.    623  701  72.2  89.8    616  700  71.4  90.6    622  691  73.1  88.9    -5.2  -4.4  -6.1   .2614  .2590

Team             W    L       RS   RA   W1    L1    UEQR EQRA   W2    L2    AEQR AEQRA  W3    L3      D1    D2    D3  OppHEqA OppPEqA
Brewers          95.  67.    738  623  93.3  68.6    709  600  93.0  68.9    691  611  89.7  72.2     1.7   2.0   5.3   .2581  .2628
Cardinals        90.  72.    706  672  84.5  77.5    718  665  86.5  75.5    711  683  83.7  78.2     5.5   3.5   6.3   .2572  .2610
Reds             83.  79.    786  760  83.4  78.6    791  774  82.6  79.4    792  796  80.4  81.6    -0.4   0.4   2.6   .2570  .2600
Cubs             71.  91.    705  839  67.6  94.5    701  848  66.4  95.7    718  861  66.8  95.2     3.4   4.6   4.2   .2584  .2576
Pirates          61. 101.    609  833  57.9 104.2    621  851  57.6 104.5    634  856  58.6 103.6     3.1   3.4   2.4   .2594  .2579

Team             W    L       RS   RA   W1    L1    UEQR EQRA   W2    L2    AEQR AEQRA  W3    L3      D1    D2    D3  OppHEqA OppPEqA
Dodgers         106.  56.    830  561 108.9  53.0    808  541 109.2  52.7    800  550 107.5  54.4    -2.9  -3.2  -1.5   .2583  .2611
Giants          107.  55.    804  594 102.9  59.0    817  591 104.4  57.5    814  603 102.8  59.1     4.1   2.6   4.2   .2580  .2604
Padres           79.  83.    729  708  83.0  78.9    730  719  82.0  80.0    748  720  83.7  78.3    -4.0  -3.0  -4.7   .2599  .2575
Rockies          74.  87.    739  796  74.7  86.3    727  794  73.6  87.4    750  793  76.0  85.0    -0.7   0.4  -2.0   .2601  .2568
Diamondbacks     52. 110.    679  893  60.2 101.9    664  899  58.1 104.0    698  892  62.2  99.9    -8.2  -6.1 -10.2   .2610  .2549


Terms:

W, L : Actual team wins and losses.

RS, RA: Actual team runs scored and runs allowed.

W1, L1 ("First-order wins"): Pythagenpat expected wins and losses, based on RS and RA.

UEQR, EQRA: Unadjusted Equivalent runs scored and equivalent runs allowed (equivalent
runs, generated from the opponent's batting line)

W2, L2 ("Second-order wins"): Pythagenpat wins and losses, based on EQR and EQRA.

AEQR, AEQRA: EQR and EQRA, adjusted for strength of schedule: the
quality of their opponent's pitching and hitting. If AEQR is higher than EQR,
the team has faced better than average pitching; if AEQRA is higher than EQRA,
the team has faced worse than average hitting.

W3, L3 ("Third-order wins"): Pythagenpat wins and losses, based on AEQR and AEQRA.

D1, D2, D3: Deltas between actual wins and W1, W2, and W3. Positive numbers
mean the team has won more games than expected from their statistics.

OppHEqA:  Opposing Hitters' EQA (used to change EQRA into AEQRA). 
Numbers above .260 means this team has faced better than average hitters.

OppPEqA:  Opposing Pitchers' EQA (used to change EQR into AEQR). 
Numbers below .260 means this team has faced better than average pitchers.