Final Adjusted Standings for 2016

by Clay Davenport


Clay's Adjusted Standings
Welcome to the Adjusted Standings page, brought to you by Clay Davenport

Generated  Tue Oct 4 07:59:28 EDT 2016

Back to Current Adjusted Standings

Teams are sorted by division and third-order wins and losses.

Team             W    L       RS   RA   W1    L1    UEQR EQRA   W2    L2    AEQR AEQRA  W3    L3      D1    D2    D3  OppHEqA OppPEqA
Red_Sox          93.  69.    878  694  98.8  63.2    880  661 102.3  59.6    870  660 102.0  59.9    -5.8  -9.3  -9.0   .2582  .2586
Blue_Jays        89.  73.    759  666  90.7  71.3    764  658  92.1  69.9    753  645  92.7  69.3    -1.7  -3.1  -3.7   .2600  .2590
Orioles          89.  73.    744  715  83.9  78.1    743  736  81.6  80.4    750  717  84.6  77.4     5.1   7.4   4.4   .2605  .2564
Yankees          84.  78.    680  702  78.5  83.5    681  697  79.2  82.8    680  674  81.8  80.2     5.5   4.8   2.2   .2614  .2576
Rays             68.  94.    672  713  76.5  85.5    691  709  79.0  83.0    692  687  81.6  80.4    -8.5 -11.0 -13.6   .2610  .2573

Team             W    L       RS   RA   W1    L1    UEQR EQRA   W2    L2    AEQR AEQRA  W3    L3      D1    D2    D3  OppHEqA OppPEqA
Indians          94.  67.    777  676  90.8  70.2    779  649  93.9  67.0    745  644  91.4  69.6     3.2   0.1   2.6   .2587  .2622
Tigers           86.  75.    750  721  83.4  77.6    769  714  86.1  74.9    761  721  84.7  76.3     2.6  -0.1   1.3   .2568  .2586
White_Sox        78.  84.    686  715  77.8  84.2    701  748  76.0  86.0    691  732  76.7  85.3     0.2   2.0   1.3   .2601  .2590
Royals           81.  81.    675  712  76.9  85.1    672  742  73.5  88.5    646  712  73.9  88.2     4.1   7.5   7.1   .2622  .2616
Twins            59. 103.    722  889  64.9  97.1    735  872  67.7  94.4    732  857  69.0  93.1    -5.9  -8.7 -10.0   .2597  .2578

Team             W    L       RS   RA   W1    L1    UEQR EQRA   W2    L2    AEQR AEQRA  W3    L3      D1    D2    D3  OppHEqA OppPEqA
Mariners         86.  76.    768  707  87.2  74.8    760  720  84.9  77.1    735  717  83.0  79.0    -1.2   1.1   3.0   .2583  .2609
Astros           84.  78.    724  701  83.3  78.7    722  714  81.7  80.3    678  684  80.5  81.5     0.7   2.3   3.5   .2625  .2640
Rangers          95.  67.    765  757  81.7  80.3    747  756  80.0  82.0    713  730  79.3  82.7    13.3  15.0  15.7   .2614  .2623
Angels           74.  88.    717  727  79.8  82.2    691  783  71.4  90.6    674  760  72.0  90.0    -5.8   2.6   2.0   .2610  .2601
Athletics        69.  93.    653  761  69.5  92.5    632  732  70.0  92.0    608  699  70.9  91.1    -0.5  -1.0  -1.9   .2627  .2615

Team             W    L       RS   RA   W1    L1    UEQR EQRA   W2    L2    AEQR AEQRA  W3    L3      D1    D2    D3  OppHEqA OppPEqA
Nationals        95.  67.    763  612  97.1  64.9    761  594  98.9  63.0    706  577  95.7  66.2    -2.1  -3.9  -0.7   .2609  .2653
Mets             87.  75.    671  617  87.0  75.0    699  664  84.7  77.3    659  641  83.2  78.8    -0.0   2.3   3.8   .2616  .2636
Marlins          79.  82.    655  682  77.4  83.6    678  697  78.4  82.6    647  674  77.6  83.4     1.6   0.6   1.4   .2614  .2623
Braves           68.  93.    649  779  66.8  94.2    667  757  71.0  90.0    635  720  71.3  89.7     1.2  -3.0  -3.3   .2631  .2627
Phillies         71.  91.    610  796  61.4 100.7    611  783  62.7  99.4    586  741  64.0  98.1     9.6   8.3   7.0   .2636  .2617

Team             W    L       RS   RA   W1    L1    UEQR EQRA   W2    L2    AEQR AEQRA  W3    L3      D1    D2    D3  OppHEqA OppPEqA
Cubs            103.  58.    808  556 107.0  54.0    805  538 108.8  52.1    714  501 105.2  55.6    -4.0  -5.8  -2.2   .2654  .2702
Cardinals        86.  76.    779  712  87.7  74.3    774  695  89.1  72.9   1640 1500  89.6  72.3    -1.7  -3.1  -3.6   .1896  .1907
Brewers          73.  89.    671  733  74.3  87.7    716  761  76.2  85.8    658  702  76.4  85.6    -1.3  -3.2  -3.4   .2664  .2662
Pirates          78.  83.    729  758  77.4  83.6    733  810  72.7  88.3    676  754  72.4  88.7     0.6   5.3   5.6   .2654  .2659
Reds             68.  94.    716  854  67.4  94.6    698  868  64.3  97.7    654  788  67.1  94.9     0.6   3.7   0.9   .2680  .2642

Team             W    L       RS   RA   W1    L1    UEQR EQRA   W2    L2    AEQR AEQRA  W3    L3      D1    D2    D3  OppHEqA OppPEqA
Dodgers          91.  71.    725  638  90.3  71.6    696  591  92.8  69.2    644  562  90.9  71.1     0.7  -1.8   0.1   .2632  .2656
Giants           87.  75.    715  631  90.1  71.9    717  628  90.6  71.4    669  599  89.2  72.8    -3.1  -3.6  -2.2   .2630  .2647
Rockies          75.  87.    845  860  79.5  82.5    827  839  79.8  82.2    797  815  79.4  82.6    -4.5  -4.8  -4.4   .2610  .2613
Diamondbacks     69.  93.    752  890  67.8  94.2    768  869  71.3  90.7    742  828  72.6  89.5     1.2  -2.3  -3.6   .2629  .2611
Padres           68.  94.    686  770  72.2  89.8    625  759  66.6  95.4    591  705  68.3  93.8    -4.2   1.4  -0.3   .2657  .2634


Terms:

W, L : Actual team wins and losses.

RS, RA: Actual team runs scored and runs allowed.

W1, L1 ("First-order wins"): Pythagenpat expected wins and losses, based on RS and RA.

UEQR, EQRA: Unadjusted Equivalent runs scored and equivalent runs allowed (equivalent
runs, generated from the opponent's batting line)

W2, L2 ("Second-order wins"): Pythagenpat wins and losses, based on EQR and EQRA.

AEQR, AEQRA: EQR and EQRA, adjusted for strength of schedule: the
quality of their opponent's pitching and hitting. If AEQR is higher than EQR,
the team has faced better than average pitching; if AEQRA is higher than EQRA,
the team has faced worse than average hitting.

W3, L3 ("Third-order wins"): Pythagenpat wins and losses, based on AEQR and AEQRA.

D1, D2, D3: Deltas between actual wins and W1, W2, and W3. Positive numbers
mean the team has won more games than expected from their statistics.

OppHEqA:  Opposing Hitters' EQA (used to change EQRA into AEQRA). 
Numbers above .260 means this team has faced better than average hitters.

OppPEqA:  Opposing Pitchers' EQA (used to change EQR into AEQR). 
Numbers below .260 means this team has faced better than average pitchers.