Final Adjusted Standings for 2015

by Clay Davenport


Clay's Adjusted Standings
Welcome to the Adjusted Standings page, brought to you by Clay Davenport

Generated  Mon Oct 5 07:59:27 EDT 2015

Back to Current Adjusted Standings

Teams are sorted by division and third-order wins and losses.

Team             W    L       RS   RA   W1    L1    UEQR EQRA   W2    L2    AEQR AEQRA  W3    L3      D1    D2    D3  OppHEqA OppPEqA
Blue_Jays        93.  69.    891  670 102.4  59.6    863  647 102.3  59.6    872  658 101.9  60.0    -9.4  -9.3  -8.9   .2584  .2589
Rays             80.  82.    644  642  81.1  80.9    688  633  86.9  75.1    694  622  88.8  73.1    -1.1  -6.9  -8.8   .2619  .2590
Yankees          87.  75.    764  698  87.7  74.3    755  704  86.2  75.8    772  697  88.6  73.3    -0.7   0.8  -1.6   .2611  .2576
Red_Sox          78.  84.    748  753  80.4  81.6    743  758  79.3  82.7    759  751  81.6  80.4    -2.4  -1.3  -3.6   .2609  .2577
Orioles          81.  81.    713  693  83.0  79.0    683  719  77.0  85.0    700  704  80.4  81.6    -2.0   4.0   0.6   .2622  .2574

Team             W    L       RS   RA   W1    L1    UEQR EQRA   W2    L2    AEQR AEQRA  W3    L3      D1    D2    D3  OppHEqA OppPEqA
Indians          81.  80.    669  640  83.6  77.4    709  600  92.4  68.6    709  607  91.7  69.2    -2.6 -11.4 -10.7   .2588  .2598
Royals           95.  67.    724  641  89.9  72.1    723  677  85.7  76.2    733  687  85.8  76.2     5.1   9.3   9.2   .2585  .2584
Tigers           74.  87.    689  803  68.9  92.2    741  795  75.0  86.0    769  810  76.4  84.6     5.1  -1.0  -2.4   .2581  .2561
Twins            83.  79.    696  700  80.5  81.5    649  733  71.8  90.2    664  735  73.3  88.7     2.5  11.2   9.7   .2598  .2576
White_Sox        76.  86.    622  701  72.1  89.9    624  722  70.1  91.9    641  719  72.3  89.7     3.9   5.9   3.7   .2604  .2572

Team             W    L       RS   RA   W1    L1    UEQR EQRA   W2    L2    AEQR AEQRA  W3    L3      D1    D2    D3  OppHEqA OppPEqA
Astros           86.  76.    729  618  93.0  69.0    734  596  95.9  66.0    733  598  95.7  66.2    -7.0  -9.9  -9.7   .2597  .2600
Athletics        68.  94.    694  729  77.2  84.8    675  688  79.4  82.6    683  680  81.2  80.8    -9.2 -11.4 -13.2   .2612  .2586
Rangers          88.  74.    751  733  82.7  79.3    742  756  79.4  82.6    756  754  81.0  81.0     5.3   8.6   7.0   .2603  .2581
Angels           85.  77.    661  675  79.3  82.7    640  671  77.3  84.7    645  660  79.2  82.8     5.7   7.7   5.8   .2618  .2591
Mariners         76.  86.    656  726  73.4  88.7    690  721  77.5  84.5    698  717  78.9  83.1     2.6  -1.5  -2.9   .2607  .2587

Team             W    L       RS   RA   W1    L1    UEQR EQRA   W2    L2    AEQR AEQRA  W3    L3      D1    D2    D3  OppHEqA OppPEqA
Nationals        83.  79.    703  635  88.4  73.6    685  593  91.2  70.7    658  604  87.0  75.0    -5.4  -8.2  -4.0   .2581  .2641
Mets             90.  72.    683  613  88.8  73.2    657  585  89.2  72.8    631  592  85.4  76.6     1.2   0.8   4.6   .2587  .2641
Marlins          71.  91.    613  678  73.5  88.5    623  673  75.2  86.9    608  679  72.9  89.2    -2.5  -4.2  -1.9   .2592  .2624
Braves           67.  95.    573  760  60.5 101.5    590  766  61.9 100.2    586  765  61.5 100.6     6.5   5.1   5.5   .2601  .2606
Phillies         63.  99.    626  809  61.9 100.1    609  823  58.7 103.4    609  824  58.7 103.5     1.1   4.3   4.3   .2599  .2600

Team             W    L       RS   RA   W1    L1    UEQR EQRA   W2    L2    AEQR AEQRA  W3    L3      D1    D2    D3  OppHEqA OppPEqA
Cubs             97.  65.    689  608  90.0  72.0    688  573  93.9  68.0    676  581  91.8  70.1     7.0   3.1   5.2   .2587  .2617
Pirates          98.  64.    697  596  92.3  69.7    696  615  89.9  72.1    686  623  87.9  74.1     5.7   8.1  10.1   .2587  .2615
Cardinals       100.  62.    647  525  95.6  66.4    668  598  88.7  73.2    659  604  87.1  74.9     4.4  11.3  12.9   .2590  .2613
Reds             64.  98.    640  754  68.7  93.3    672  752  72.4  89.6    683  755  73.4  88.7    -4.7  -8.4  -9.4   .2596  .2582
Brewers          68.  94.    655  737  72.1  89.9    632  738  69.4  92.7    639  740  70.1  92.0    -4.1  -1.4  -2.1   .2598  .2587

Team             W    L       RS   RA   W1    L1    UEQR EQRA   W2    L2    AEQR AEQRA  W3    L3      D1    D2    D3  OppHEqA OppPEqA
Dodgers          92.  70.    667  595  89.2  72.8    704  566  96.5  65.5    672  566  93.1  68.8     2.8  -4.5  -1.1   .2601  .2648
Giants           84.  78.    696  627  88.5  73.4    705  628  89.3  72.6    681  626  87.0  75.0    -4.5  -5.3  -3.0   .2603  .2635
Diamondbacks     79.  83.    720  713  81.6  80.4    739  733  81.4  80.6    723  729  80.3  81.7    -2.6  -2.4  -1.3   .2607  .2621
Padres           74.  88.    650  731  72.2  89.8    609  703  70.3  91.8    595  689  70.2  91.8     1.8   3.7   3.8   .2623  .2623
Rockies          68.  94.    737  844  70.5  91.6    715  880  64.9  97.2    715  871  65.7  96.4    -2.5   3.1   2.3   .2611  .2599


Terms:

W, L : Actual team wins and losses.

RS, RA: Actual team runs scored and runs allowed.

W1, L1 ("First-order wins"): Pythagenpat expected wins and losses, based on RS and RA.

UEQR, EQRA: Unadjusted Equivalent runs scored and equivalent runs allowed (equivalent
runs, generated from the opponent's batting line)

W2, L2 ("Second-order wins"): Pythagenpat wins and losses, based on EQR and EQRA.

AEQR, AEQRA: EQR and EQRA, adjusted for strength of schedule: the
quality of their opponent's pitching and hitting. If AEQR is higher than EQR,
the team has faced better than average pitching; if AEQRA is higher than EQRA,
the team has faced worse than average hitting.

W3, L3 ("Third-order wins"): Pythagenpat wins and losses, based on AEQR and AEQRA.

D1, D2, D3: Deltas between actual wins and W1, W2, and W3. Positive numbers
mean the team has won more games than expected from their statistics.

OppHEqA:  Opposing Hitters' EQA (used to change EQRA into AEQRA). 
Numbers above .260 means this team has faced better than average hitters.

OppPEqA:  Opposing Pitchers' EQA (used to change EQR into AEQR). 
Numbers below .260 means this team has faced better than average pitchers.