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Final Adjusted Standings for 2010
by Clay Davenport
BP Adjusted Standings
Welcome to the Adjusted Standings page, brought to you by Baseball Prospectus.
Generated Tue Oct 5 07:15:30 EDT 2010
Back to Current Adjusted Standings
Teams are sorted by division and third-order wins and losses.
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 UEQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3 OppHEqA OppPEqA
Yankees 95. 67. 859 693 97.3 64.7 842 694 95.7 66.3 850 702 95.6 66.4 -2.3 -0.7 -0.6 .2589 .2590
Red_Sox 89. 73. 818 744 88.3 73.7 836 731 91.4 70.6 852 733 92.7 69.3 0.7 -2.4 -3.7 .2598 .2580
Rays 96. 66. 802 649 96.8 65.2 751 660 90.7 71.3 756 659 91.3 70.7 -0.8 5.3 4.7 .2602 .2594
Blue_Jays 85. 77. 755 728 83.8 78.2 748 697 86.3 75.7 760 685 88.9 73.1 1.2 -1.3 -3.9 .2619 .2583
Orioles 66. 96. 613 785 62.8 99.2 645 790 65.9 96.1 666 770 70.2 91.8 3.2 0.1 -4.2 .2627 .2566
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 UEQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3 OppHEqA OppPEqA
Twins 94. 68. 781 671 92.4 69.6 772 695 89.0 73.0 771 699 88.4 73.6 1.6 5.0 5.6 .2594 .2602
White_Sox 88. 74. 752 704 86.0 76.0 746 691 86.8 75.2 739 697 85.5 76.5 2.0 1.2 2.5 .2591 .2610
Tigers 81. 81. 751 743 81.8 80.2 753 712 85.2 76.8 747 718 84.0 78.0 -0.8 -4.2 -3.0 .2592 .2608
Royals 67. 95. 676 845 64.1 97.9 715 822 70.4 91.6 731 819 72.4 89.6 2.9 -3.4 -5.4 .2605 .2577
Indians 69. 93. 646 752 69.7 92.3 654 769 69.0 93.0 661 756 71.0 91.0 -0.7 0.0 -2.0 .2618 .2590
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 UEQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3 OppHEqA OppPEqA
Rangers 90. 72. 787 687 91.3 70.7 776 685 90.5 71.6 781 710 88.4 73.6 -1.3 -0.5 1.6 .2564 .2593
Athletics 81. 81. 663 626 85.2 76.8 673 628 86.1 75.9 681 638 85.9 76.1 -4.2 -5.1 -4.9 .2584 .2588
Angels 80. 82. 681 702 78.7 83.3 645 726 72.3 89.7 664 731 73.9 88.1 1.3 7.7 6.1 .2594 .2571
Mariners 61. 101. 513 698 59.4 102.6 546 668 66.7 95.3 559 661 69.1 92.9 1.6 -5.7 -8.1 .2612 .2575
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 UEQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3 OppHEqA OppPEqA
Braves 91. 71. 738 629 92.8 69.2 737 629 92.7 69.3 724 631 91.1 70.9 -1.8 -1.7 -0.1 .2597 .2619
Phillies 97. 65. 772 640 94.9 67.1 757 673 89.8 72.2 751 670 89.6 72.4 2.1 7.2 7.4 .2605 .2607
Marlins 80. 82. 719 717 81.2 80.8 704 723 79.0 83.0 704 719 79.5 82.5 -1.2 1.0 0.5 .2607 .2600
Mets 79. 83. 656 652 81.5 80.5 661 703 76.5 85.5 657 694 77.0 85.0 -2.5 2.5 2.0 .2613 .2605
Nationals 69. 93. 655 742 71.7 90.3 672 734 74.4 87.6 668 732 74.2 87.7 -2.7 -5.4 -5.2 .2603 .2606
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 UEQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3 OppHEqA OppPEqA
Reds 91. 71. 790 685 91.8 70.2 809 687 93.4 68.6 782 705 88.8 73.2 -0.8 -2.4 2.2 .2573 .2636
Cardinals 86. 76. 736 641 91.2 70.8 717 655 87.8 74.2 693 659 84.9 77.1 -5.2 -1.8 1.1 .2594 .2635
Brewers 77. 85. 750 804 75.6 86.4 778 804 78.5 83.5 766 817 76.0 86.0 1.4 -1.5 1.0 .2583 .2617
Cubs 75. 87. 685 767 72.5 89.5 684 739 75.3 86.7 670 743 73.3 88.7 2.5 -0.3 1.7 .2594 .2622
Astros 76. 86. 611 729 68.1 93.9 584 719 66.0 96.0 571 706 65.7 96.3 7.9 10.0 10.3 .2619 .2624
Pirates 57. 105. 587 866 52.8 109.2 599 868 53.9 108.1 596 854 54.8 107.2 4.2 3.1 2.2 .2617 .2604
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 UEQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3 OppHEqA OppPEqA
Rockies 83. 79. 770 717 86.4 75.6 779 690 90.1 71.9 773 692 89.4 72.6 -3.4 -7.1 -6.4 .2597 .2607
Giants 92. 70. 697 583 93.9 68.1 698 634 88.0 74.0 694 637 87.4 74.6 -1.9 4.0 4.6 .2597 .2606
Padres 90. 72. 665 581 90.7 71.3 643 600 86.1 75.9 638 602 85.2 76.8 -0.7 3.9 4.8 .2596 .2608
Dodgers 80. 82. 667 692 78.3 83.7 657 646 82.3 79.7 656 640 82.8 79.2 1.7 -2.3 -2.8 .2609 .2602
Diamondbacks 65. 97. 713 836 68.8 93.2 727 836 70.4 91.6 748 831 72.9 89.1 -3.8 -5.4 -7.9 .2606 .2571
Terms:
W, L : Actual team wins and losses.
RS, RA: Actual team runs scored and runs allowed.
W1, L1 ("First-order wins"): Pythagenpat expected wins and losses, based on
RS and RA.
UEQR, EQRA: Unadjusted Equivalent runs scored and equivalent runs allowed (equivalent
runs, generated from the opponent's batting line)
W2, L2 ("Second-order wins"): Pythagenpat wins and losses, based on EQR and
EQRA.
AEQR, AEQRA: EQR and EQRA, adjusted for strength of schedule: the
quality of their opponent's pitching and hitting. If AEQR is higher than EQR,
the team has faced better than average pitching; if AEQRA is higher than EQRA,
the team has faced worse than average hitting.
W3, L3 ("Third-order wins"): Pythagenpat wins and losses, based on AEQR and
AEQRA.
D1, D2, D3: Deltas between actual wins and W1, W2, and W3. Positive numbers
mean the team has won more games than expected from their statistics.
OppHEqA: Opposing Hitters' EQA (used to change EQRA into AEQRA).
Numbers above .260 means this team has faced better than average hitters.
OppPEqA: Opposing Pitchers' EQA (used to change EQR into AEQR).
Numbers below .260 means this team has faced better than average pitchers.
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