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Final Adjusted Standings for 2009
by Clay Davenport
BP Adjusted Standings
Welcome to the Adjusted Standings page, brought to you by Baseball Prospectus.
Generated Mon Oct 5 10:44:56 EDT 2009
Back to Current Adjusted Standings
Teams are sorted by division and third-order wins and losses.
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 UEQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3 OppHEqA OppPEqA
Yankees 103. 59. 915 753 96.2 65.8 949 730 101.2 60.8 937 726 100.9 61.0 6.8 1.8 2.1 .2583 .2587
Rays 84. 78. 803 754 85.9 76.1 825 722 91.2 70.8 797 692 92.0 70.0 -1.9 -7.2 -8.0 .2621 .2610
Red_Sox 95. 67. 872 736 94.1 67.9 873 788 89.0 73.0 847 751 90.5 71.5 0.9 6.0 4.5 .2627 .2605
Blue_Jays 75. 87. 798 771 83.7 78.3 807 797 82.0 80.0 770 740 84.3 77.7 -8.7 -7.0 -9.3 .2656 .2623
Orioles 64. 98. 741 876 68.1 93.9 741 915 64.7 97.3 733 857 69.0 93.0 -4.1 -0.7 -5.0 .2645 .2586
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 UEQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3 OppHEqA OppPEqA
Twins 86. 76. 811 760 86.0 76.0 802 773 83.9 78.1 786 773 82.5 79.5 -0.0 2.1 3.5 .2577 .2595
White_Sox 79. 83. 724 732 80.2 81.8 724 729 80.5 81.5 706 719 79.7 82.3 -1.2 -1.5 -0.7 .2591 .2601
Tigers 86. 76. 738 739 80.9 81.1 736 758 78.8 83.2 719 750 78.0 84.0 5.1 7.2 8.0 .2588 .2599
Indians 65. 97. 773 865 72.3 89.7 777 856 73.5 88.5 775 853 73.7 88.3 -7.3 -8.5 -8.7 .2581 .2578
Royals 65. 97. 686 842 65.5 96.5 687 791 70.3 91.7 675 778 70.4 91.6 -0.5 -5.3 -5.4 .2595 .2592
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 UEQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3 OppHEqA OppPEqA
Angels 97. 65. 883 761 92.6 69.4 843 798 85.3 76.7 854 795 86.8 75.2 4.4 11.7 10.2 .2581 .2561
Rangers 87. 75. 784 740 85.5 76.5 775 739 84.6 77.4 768 728 85.3 76.7 1.5 2.4 1.7 .2593 .2583
Mariners 85. 77. 640 692 75.3 86.7 671 663 81.8 80.2 663 647 83.0 79.0 9.7 3.2 2.0 .2603 .2586
Athletics 75. 87. 759 761 80.8 81.2 719 735 79.3 82.7 726 720 81.8 80.2 -5.8 -4.3 -6.8 .2599 .2564
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 UEQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3 OppHEqA OppPEqA
Braves 86. 76. 735 641 91.2 70.8 738 667 88.6 73.4 670 615 87.4 74.6 -5.2 -2.6 -1.4 .2662 .2677
Phillies 93. 69. 820 709 92.1 69.9 811 757 86.3 75.7 1676 1601 85.7 76.3 0.9 6.7 7.3 .1910 .1926
Marlins 87. 75. 772 766 81.6 80.4 755 733 83.2 78.8 692 677 82.8 79.2 5.4 3.8 4.2 .2661 .2666
Mets 70. 92. 671 757 72.0 90.0 703 755 75.6 86.4 654 703 75.8 86.2 -2.0 -5.6 -5.8 .2651 .2649
Nationals 59. 103. 710 874 65.1 96.9 728 842 69.8 92.2 675 777 70.6 91.4 -6.1 -10.8 -11.6 .2662 .2653
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 UEQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3 OppHEqA OppPEqA
Cardinals 91. 71. 730 640 90.8 71.2 718 638 89.8 72.2 655 614 86.0 76.0 0.2 1.2 5.0 .2617 .2671
Cubs 83. 78. 707 672 84.3 76.7 713 672 84.9 76.1 652 641 81.9 79.1 -1.3 -1.9 1.1 .2626 .2668
Brewers 80. 82. 785 818 77.8 84.2 773 830 75.5 86.5 728 801 73.8 88.2 2.2 4.5 6.2 .2614 .2638
Reds 78. 84. 673 723 75.7 86.3 669 739 73.5 88.5 610 697 71.3 90.7 2.3 4.5 6.7 .2639 .2672
Astros 74. 88. 643 770 67.6 94.4 664 790 68.0 94.0 618 747 67.1 94.9 6.4 6.0 6.9 .2635 .2650
Pirates 62. 99. 636 768 66.6 94.4 638 801 63.6 97.4 601 767 62.8 98.2 -4.6 -1.6 -0.8 .2623 .2636
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 UEQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3 OppHEqA OppPEqA
Dodgers 95. 67. 780 611 99.0 63.0 772 594 100.2 61.8 733 574 99.0 63.0 -4.0 -5.2 -4.0 .2613 .2628
Rockies 92. 70. 804 715 90.0 72.0 801 711 90.1 71.9 768 686 89.7 72.3 2.0 1.9 2.3 .2614 .2618
Giants 88. 74. 657 611 86.3 75.7 625 615 82.3 79.7 596 581 83.0 79.0 1.7 5.7 5.0 .2635 .2624
Diamondbacks 70. 92. 720 782 74.7 87.3 727 744 79.2 82.8 698 709 80.0 82.0 -4.7 -9.2 -10.0 .2627 .2616
Padres 75. 87. 638 769 67.2 94.8 644 725 72.2 89.8 627 689 74.2 87.8 7.8 2.8 0.8 .2631 .2602
Terms:
W, L : Actual team wins and losses.
RS, RA: Actual team runs scored and runs allowed.
W1, L1 ("First-order wins"): Pythagenport expected wins and losses, based on
RS and RA.
UEQR, EQRA: Unadjusted Equivalent runs scored and equivalent runs allowed (equivalent
runs, generated from the opponent's batting line)
W2, L2 ("Second-order wins"): Pythagenport wins and losses, based on EQR and
EQRA.
AEQR, AEQRA: EQR and EQRA, adjusted for strength of schedule: the
quality of their opponent's pitching and hitting. If AEQR is higher than EQR,
the team has faced better than average pitching; if AEQRA is higher than EQRA,
the team has faced worse than average hitting.
W3, L3 ("Third-order wins"): Pythagenport wins and losses, based on AEQR and
AEQRA.
D1, D2, D3: Deltas between actual wins and W1, W2, and W3. Positive numbers
mean the team has won more games than expected from their statistics.
OppHEqA: Opposing Hitters' EQA (used to change EQRA into AEQRA).
Numbers above .260 means this team has faced better than average hitters.
OppPEqA: Opposing Pitchers' EQA (used to change EQR into AEQR).
Numbers below .260 means this team has faced better than average pitchers.
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