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Final Adjusted Standings for 2007
by Clay Davenport
BP Adjusted Standings
Welcome to the Adjusted Standings page, brought to you by Baseball Prospectus.
Generated Tue Oct 2 07:15:22 EDT 2007
Back to Current Adjusted Standings
Teams are sorted by division and third-order wins and losses.
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Red_Sox 96. 66. 867 657 101.8 60.2 907 677 103.2 58.9 906 677 103.1 58.9 -5.8 -7.2 -7.1
Yankees 94. 68. 968 777 98.3 63.7 969 811 95.3 66.8 985 822 95.5 66.5 -4.3 -1.3 -1.5
Blue_Jays 83. 79. 753 699 86.6 75.4 741 698 85.6 76.4 745 688 87.1 74.9 -3.6 -2.6 -4.1
Orioles 69. 93. 756 868 70.3 91.7 784 835 76.1 85.9 799 827 78.3 83.7 -1.3 -7.1 -9.3
Devil_Rays 66. 96. 782 944 66.2 95.8 822 930 71.3 90.7 861 928 75.0 86.9 -0.2 -5.3 -9.0
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Indians 96. 66. 811 704 91.8 70.2 812 720 90.3 71.7 807 733 88.4 73.6 4.2 5.7 7.6
Tigers 88. 74. 887 797 89.4 72.6 887 800 89.2 72.8 901 823 88.2 73.8 -1.4 -1.2 -0.2
Twins 79. 83. 718 725 80.3 81.7 717 747 78.0 84.0 732 761 78.1 83.9 -1.3 1.0 0.9
White_Sox 72. 90. 693 839 66.5 95.5 692 818 68.4 93.6 707 822 69.5 92.5 5.5 3.6 2.5
Royals 69. 93. 706 778 73.6 88.4 673 821 66.0 95.9 686 821 67.4 94.6 -4.6 3.0 1.6
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Angels 94. 68. 822 731 90.0 72.0 801 747 86.4 75.6 799 751 85.9 76.1 4.0 7.6 8.1
Athletics 76. 86. 741 758 79.3 82.7 764 741 83.4 78.6 769 752 82.7 79.3 -3.3 -7.4 -6.7
Mariners 88. 74. 794 813 79.2 82.8 780 817 77.4 84.6 792 824 78.0 84.0 8.8 10.6 10.0
Rangers 75. 87. 816 844 78.4 83.6 766 847 73.3 88.7 777 851 74.0 87.9 -3.4 1.7 1.0
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Mets 88. 74. 804 750 86.4 75.6 841 734 91.6 70.4 817 717 91.1 70.9 1.6 -3.6 -3.1
Braves 84. 78. 810 733 88.7 73.3 790 729 87.2 74.8 775 710 87.7 74.3 -4.7 -3.2 -3.7
Phillies 89. 73. 892 821 87.6 74.4 917 839 88.2 73.8 903 834 87.4 74.6 1.4 0.8 1.6
Marlins 71. 91. 790 891 71.6 90.4 819 884 75.0 87.0 801 864 75.2 86.8 -0.6 -4.0 -4.2
Nationals 73. 89. 673 783 69.6 92.4 669 783 69.3 92.7 659 756 70.8 91.2 3.4 3.7 2.2
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Cubs 85. 77. 752 690 87.5 74.5 753 700 86.6 75.4 725 699 83.8 78.3 -2.5 -1.6 1.2
Brewers 83. 79. 801 776 83.5 78.5 803 760 85.3 76.7 781 769 82.3 79.7 -0.5 -2.3 0.7
Reds 72. 90. 783 853 74.3 87.7 791 843 76.1 85.9 781 846 74.9 87.1 -2.3 -4.1 -2.9
Cardinals 78. 84. 725 829 70.7 91.3 708 764 75.3 86.7 692 764 73.6 88.4 7.3 2.7 4.4
Astros 73. 89. 723 813 72.0 90.0 722 832 70.2 91.8 713 834 69.0 93.0 1.0 2.8 4.0
Pirates 68. 94. 724 846 69.0 93.0 702 853 66.1 95.8 696 853 65.6 96.4 -1.0 1.9 2.4
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Rockies 90. 73. 860 758 91.4 71.7 852 757 90.8 72.3 856 767 90.2 72.8 -1.4 -0.8 -0.2
Dodgers 82. 80. 735 727 81.8 80.2 750 691 87.2 74.8 752 692 87.3 74.7 0.2 -5.2 -5.3
Padres 89. 74. 741 666 89.5 73.5 705 677 84.6 78.4 710 682 84.6 78.4 -0.5 4.4 4.4
Giants 71. 91. 683 720 77.1 84.9 679 723 76.4 85.6 688 715 78.2 83.8 -6.1 -5.4 -7.2
Diamondbacks 90. 72. 712 732 78.9 83.1 706 743 77.2 84.8 708 739 77.8 84.2 11.1 12.8 12.2
Terms:
W, L : Actual team wins and losses.
RS, RA: Actual team runs scored and runs allowed.
W1, L1 ("First-order wins"): Pythagenport expected wins and losses, based on
RS and RA.
EQR, EQRA: Equivalent runs scored and equivalent runs allowed (equivalent
runs, generated from the opponent's batting line)
W2, L2 ("Second-order wins"): Pythagenport wins and losses, based on EQR and
EQRA.
AEQR, AEQRA: EQR and EQRA, adjusted for strength of schedule: the
quality of their opponent's pitching and hitting. If AEQR is higher than EQR,
the team has faced better than average pitching; if AEQRA is higher than EQRA, the team has faced worse than average hitting.
W3, L3 ("Third-order wins"): Pythagenport wins and losses, based on AEQR and
AEQRA.
D1, D2, D3: Deltas between actual wins and W1, W2, and W3. Positive numbers
mean the team has won more games than expected from their statistics.
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