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Final Adjusted Standings for 2004
by Clay Davenport
Welcome to the Adjusted Standings page, brought to you by Baseball Prospectus.
Generated Mon Oct 4 07:47:20 UTC 2004
Back to Current Adjusted Standings
Teams are sorted by division and third-order wins and losses.
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Yankees 100. 61. 894 806 88.6 72.4 891 778 91.0 70.0 910 798 90.8 70.2 11.4 9.0 9.2
Orioles 77. 84. 839 828 81.5 79.5 840 801 84.2 76.8 852 804 85.0 76.0 -4.5 -7.2 -8.0
Red_Sox 98. 63. 947 765 97.1 63.9 962 713103.3 57.7 966 721102.8 58.2 0.9 -5.3 -4.8
Devil_Rays 70. 91. 714 842 67.9 93.1 710 812 70.4 90.6 736 814 72.8 88.2 2.1 -0.4 -2.8
Blue_Jays 67. 93. 717 820 69.8 90.2 711 832 68.1 91.9 727 821 70.8 89.2 -2.8 -1.1 -3.8
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Twins 91. 69. 779 715 86.5 73.5 795 720 87.5 72.5 769 726 84.4 75.6 4.5 3.5 6.6
Royals 58. 104. 720 900 63.8 98.2 684 921 58.4103.6 703 920 60.4101.6 -5.8 -0.4 -2.4
Tigers 72. 90. 823 837 79.7 82.3 830 823 81.6 80.4 834 842 80.2 81.8 -7.7 -9.6 -8.2
White_Sox 83. 79. 865 831 84.2 77.8 822 837 79.6 82.4 825 845 79.2 82.8 -1.2 3.4 3.8
Indians 79. 81. 853 854 79.9 80.1 867 869 79.8 80.2 854 879 77.7 82.3 -0.9 -0.8 1.3
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Athletics 90. 71. 790 740 85.5 75.5 840 746 89.6 71.4 844 749 89.7 71.3 4.5 0.4 0.3
Angels 92. 69. 834 731 90.6 70.4 811 748 86.7 74.3 826 755 87.4 73.6 1.4 5.3 4.6
Rangers 89. 73. 860 794 87.3 74.7 829 815 82.3 79.7 840 817 83.1 78.9 1.7 6.7 5.9
Mariners 63. 99. 698 820 68.8 93.2 740 825 72.6 89.4 771 832 75.1 86.9 -5.8 -9.6 -12.1
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Braves 96. 65. 795 658 94.6 66.4 794 702 89.8 71.2 776 701 88.2 72.8 1.4 6.2 7.8
Phillies 85. 76. 830 777 85.6 75.4 836 796 84.3 76.7 828 799 83.2 77.8 -0.6 0.7 1.8
Marlins 83. 78. 714 690 83.1 77.9 700 698 80.7 80.3 687 694 79.7 81.3 -0.1 2.3 3.3
Mets 71. 91. 676 730 75.2 86.8 689 737 76.0 86.0 681 727 76.2 85.8 -4.2 -5.0 -5.2
Expos 67. 95. 634 761 67.5 94.5 653 770 68.7 93.3 653 769 68.8 93.2 -0.5 -1.7 -1.8
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Cubs 88. 73. 779 657 93.2 67.8 799 671 93.6 67.4 784 662 93.1 67.9 -5.2 -5.6 -5.1
Astros 91. 70. 798 695 90.9 70.1 788 720 87.3 73.7 783 718 87.1 73.9 0.1 3.7 3.9
Cardinals 104. 57. 855 659100.0 61.0 848 647100.6 60.4 828 652 98.2 62.8 4.0 3.4 5.8
Brewers 67. 94. 630 748 67.9 93.1 662 702 76.2 84.8 659 689 77.2 83.8 -0.9 -9.2 -10.2
Pirates 72. 89. 678 744 73.6 87.4 648 744 70.3 90.7 651 733 71.8 89.2 -1.6 1.7 0.2
Reds 76. 85. 750 905 66.0 95.0 736 907 64.4 96.6 756 898 67.1 93.9 10.0 11.6 8.9
Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Dodgers 93. 68. 761 674 89.6 71.4 749 685 87.2 73.8 734 681 86.0 75.0 3.4 5.8 7.0
Giants 90. 71. 840 770 87.2 73.8 830 761 87.2 73.8 817 766 85.5 75.5 2.8 2.8 4.5
Padres 87. 74. 767 701 87.3 73.7 758 715 84.8 76.2 741 722 82.5 78.5 -0.3 2.2 4.5
Diamondbacks 50. 111. 611 898 52.4108.6 632 832 60.3100.7 626 810 61.4 99.6 -2.4 -10.3 -11.4
Rockies 68. 93. 833 923 72.4 88.6 831 955 69.4 91.6 828 942 70.3 90.7 -4.4 -1.4 -2.3
Terms:
W, L : Actual team wins and losses.
RS, RA: Actual team runs scored and runs allowed.
W1, L1 ("First-order wins"): Pythagenport expected wins and losses, based on
RS and RA.
EQR, EQRA: Equivalent runs scored and equivalent runs allowed (equivalent
runs, generated from the opponent's batting line)
W2, L2 ("Second-order wins"): Pythagenport wins and losses, based on EQR and
EQRA.
AEQR, AEQRA: EQR and EQRA, adjusted for strength of schedule: the
quality of their opponent's pitching and hitting. If AEQR is higher than EQR,
the team has faced better than average pitching; if AEQRA is higher than EQRA, the team has faced worse than average hitting.
W3, L3 ("Third-order wins"): Pythagenport wins and losses, based on AEQR and
AEQRA.
D1, D2, D3: Deltas between actual wins and W1, W2, and W3. Positive numbers
mean the team has won more games than expected from their statistics.
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