Red Sox Playoff Odds Day by Day Mar 31:Red Sox 1 1 .500 81.1 80.9 19.90655 13.55115 33.45769 Apr 1:Red Sox 2 1 .500 81.6 80.4 21.20627 13.87041 35.07668 Apr 2:Red Sox 3 1 .500 82.2 79.8 22.76609 14.11320 36.87929 Apr 3:Red Sox 4 1 .501 82.9 79.1 24.23360 14.90856 39.14216 Apr 4:Red Sox 5 1 .499 83.0 79.0 23.72128 15.25616 38.97743 Apr 5:Red Sox 5 1 .498 82.7 79.3 23.38784 14.87418 38.26203 Apr 6:Red Sox 6 1 .493 82.5 79.5 23.52818 14.43740 37.96558 Apr 7:Red Sox 6 1 .493 82.7 79.3 24.32833 14.59170 38.92002 Apr 8:Red Sox 7 1 .487 82.4 79.6 25.46906 13.00902 38.47808 Apr 9:Red Sox 8 1 .485 82.6 79.4 26.23545 12.65520 38.89065 Apr 10:Red Sox 8 1 .493 83.8 78.2 29.44273 13.56869 43.01143 Apr 11:Red Sox 9 1 .512 87.7 74.3 40.88023 15.61165 56.49188 Apr 12:Red Sox 9 1 .514 87.2 73.8 40.82262 15.37305 56.19566 Apr 13:Red Sox 10 2 .509 87.1 74.9 40.65517 13.85360 54.50876 Apr 14:Red Sox 10 2 .513 87.0 74.0 41.58278 14.09283 55.67560 Apr 15:Red Sox 12 2 .523 90.1 71.9 50.80065 14.55130 65.35194 Apr 16:Red Sox 13 2 .531 92.1 70.9 56.25300 14.42182 70.67482 Apr 17:Red Sox 13 2 .533 91.8 70.2 54.55845 16.23301 70.79146 Apr 18:Red Sox 14 2 .559 96.2 65.8 67.84627 15.04087 82.88714 Apr 19:Red Sox 15 2 .576 99.0 63.0 73.56130 14.99772 88.55902 Apr 20:Red Sox 16 2 .587 100.8 61.2 77.33269 14.37202 91.70471 Apr 21:Red Sox 17 2 .589 101.8 60.2 79.89048 13.29756 93.18804 1.48333 37.51244 Apr 22:Red Sox 17 3 .586 100.9 61.1 78.15151 13.76721 91.91872 -1.26933 26.56678 Apr 23:Red Sox 17 4 .585 100.4 61.6 76.24495 15.07433 91.31928 -0.59943 20.64446 Apr 24:Red Sox 17 4 .588 100.7 61.3 73.34500 18.05580 91.40080 .08152 20.60934 Apr 25:Red Sox 17 5 .591 100.8 61.2 70.54232 20.87035 91.41266 .01186 8.52552 Apr 26:Red Sox 18 5 .595 101.6 60.4 71.66341 20.87009 92.53350 1.12084 3.97448 Apr 27:Red Sox 3 1 .510 76.7 65.3 32.46745 20.67602 53.14347 -39.39003 -38.56124 Apr 28:Red Sox 19 6 .589 100.5 61.5 67.78778 23.54681 91.33458 38.19111 -1.85346 Apr 29:Red Sox 19 7 .578 98.2 63.8 57.99258 29.36161 87.35419 -3.98039 -4.56453 Apr 30:Red Sox 20 7 .578 98.5 63.5 57.65438 30.44912 88.10350 .74931 -3.21578 May 1:Red Sox 21 7 .580 99.0 63.0 59.48656 29.65168 89.13824 1.03474 -2.26257 May 2:Red Sox 21 8 .573 97.4 64.6 51.59914 34.32776 85.92691 -3.21133 -5.48575 May 3:Red Sox 22 8 .570 97.4 64.6 47.49591 38.86603 86.36194 .43503 -6.17156 May 4:Red Sox 22 9 .564 96.0 66.0 40.98012 41.85112 82.83124 -3.53070 29.68777 May 5:Red Sox 23 9 .571 97.3 64.7 42.16333 43.11472 85.27806 2.44682 -6.05652 May 6:Red Sox 24 9 .570 97.6 64.4 42.14938 44.40698 86.55635 1.27829 -0.79784 May 7:Red Sox 25 9 .574 98.6 63.4 42.20398 46.47304 88.67701 2.12066 .57351 May 8:Red Sox 25 9 .572 98.1 63.9 40.03835 47.70087 87.73922 -0.93779 -1.39902 May 9:Red Sox 25 10 .570 97.4 64.6 36.10463 50.99552 87.10014 -0.63908 1.17323 May 10:Red Sox 25 11 .572 97.0 65.0 32.85206 53.24868 86.10074 -0.99940 -0.26120 May 11:Red Sox 26 11 .576 98.2 63.8 40.31638 48.01954 88.33592 2.23518 5.50468 May 12:Red Sox 26 12 .572 97.2 64.8 42.90169 44.14678 87.04847 -1.28745 1.77041 May 13:Red Sox 27 12 .573 97.8 64.2 41.27378 47.54719 88.82097 1.77250 2.26462 May 14:Red Sox 28 12 .567 97.2 64.8 36.33976 52.06541 88.40516 -0.41581 -0.27185 May 15:Red Sox 28 13 .563 96.2 65.8 33.31361 52.16342 85.47703 -2.92813 -2.26219 May 16:Red Sox 28 14 .562 95.6 66.4 30.34173 52.59853 82.94026 -2.53677 -4.15988 May 17:Red Sox 29 14 .564 96.0 66.0 30.93620 53.90728 84.84348 1.90322 -1.25726 May 18:Red Sox 30 14 .570 97.1 64.9 34.84507 53.10463 87.94970 3.10622 -0.38622 May 19:Red Sox 30 15 .570 96.6 65.4 37.21215 49.94555 87.15770 -0.79200 .10923 May 20:Red Sox 31 15 .571 97.0 65.0 35.24146 52.33960 87.58105 .42335 -1.23992 May 21:Red Sox 32 15 .573 97.7 64.3 32.01868 56.46394 88.48262 .90157 .07746 May 22:Red Sox 32 15 .573 97.6 64.4 29.42068 58.70893 88.12961 -0.35301 2.65258 May 23:Red Sox 33 15 .574 98.1 63.9 33.85612 56.13517 89.99129 1.86168 7.05103 May 24:Red Sox 34 15 .575 98.7 63.3 39.13713 52.52938 91.66651 1.67522 6.82303 May 25:Red Sox 34 16 .573 97.9 64.1 36.52117 52.95087 89.47203 -2.19448 1.52233 May 26:Red Sox 35 16 .578 99.0 63.0 39.22358 53.17001 92.39360 2.92157 5.23590 May 27:Red Sox 36 16 .579 99.6 62.4 45.62093 46.76768 92.38861 -0.00499 4.80756 May 28:Red Sox 36 17 .577 98.8 63.2 41.51733 48.82906 90.34639 -2.04222 1.86377 May 29:Red Sox 37 17 .577 99.1 62.9 44.26237 47.26935 91.53171 1.18532 3.40210 May 30:Red Sox 38 17 .582 100.0 62.0 43.86408 49.32918 93.19326 1.66155 3.20197 May 31:Red Sox 39 17 .585 100.6 61.4 43.82140 50.95603 94.77743 1.58417 3.11092 Jun 1:Red Sox 39 18 .584 100.1 61.9 42.39698 52.15594 94.55292 -0.22451 5.08089 Jun 2:Red Sox 39 19 .581 99.5 62.5 38.12908 55.06931 93.19839 -1.35453 .80479 Jun 3:Red Sox 40 19 .581 100.2 61.8 40.14085 54.64102 94.78187 1.58348 2.39326 Jun 4:Red Sox 41 19 .590 101.7 60.3 46.56720 49.97168 96.53888 1.75701 6.19249 Jun 5:Red Sox 41 19 .589 101.6 60.4 45.96020 50.48991 96.45011 -0.08877 4.91840 Jun 6:Red Sox 42 19 .596 102.5 59.5 47.16505 50.08543 97.25048 .80037 4.05722 Jun 7:Red Sox 43 19 .599 103.1 58.9 46.59275 51.38999 97.98274 .73226 3.20531 Jun 8:Red Sox 43 20 .597 102.2 59.8 42.56790 54.75112 97.31902 -0.66372 2.76611 Jun 9:Red Sox 43 21 .595 101.4 60.6 36.65215 59.75673 96.40888 -0.91014 3.21049 Jun 10:Red Sox 44 21 .596 101.8 60.2 36.24370 60.67711 96.92081 .51192 2.13894 Jun 11:Red Sox 44 22 .593 101.0 61.0 36.35810 59.91320 96.27130 -0.64951 -0.26758 Jun 12:Red Sox 45 22 .591 101.0 61.0 36.27070 60.06627 96.33697 .06567 -0.11314 Jun 13:Red Sox 46 22 .590 101.3 60.7 35.11935 61.64627 96.76562 .42865 -0.48486 Jun 14:Red Sox 47 22 .589 101.6 60.4 38.78885 58.50360 97.29245 .52683 -0.69029 Jun 15:Red Sox 48 22 .592 102.3 59.7 39.13295 58.93749 98.07044 .77799 .75142 Jun 16:Red Sox 48 23 .589 101.6 60.4 32.70972 64.86732 97.57704 -0.49340 1.16816 Jun 17:Red Sox 48 24 .587 100.8 61.2 27.17853 70.02144 97.19998 -0.37706 .27917 Jun 18:Red Sox 49 24 .592 101.7 60.3 33.04808 65.03873 98.08681 .88683 1.81551 Jun 19:Red Sox 49 24 .592 101.6 60.4 32.13032 66.05315 98.18347 .09666 1.84650 Jun 20:Red Sox 49 25 .591 100.9 61.1 25.74095 71.90737 97.64832 -0.53515 .88271 Jun 21:Red Sox 49 26 .586 99.8 62.2 19.56040 77.29510 96.85550 -0.79282 -0.43695 Jun 22:Red Sox 50 26 .594 101.0 61.0 22.03290 75.88879 97.92169 1.06619 -0.14875 Jun 23:Red Sox 51 26 .597 101.6 60.4 27.59017 70.82870 98.41887 .49718 .84183 Jun 24:Red Sox 51 27 .592 100.6 61.4 27.73557 69.95646 97.69203 -0.72684 .49205 Jun 25:Red Sox 52 27 .595 101.2 60.8 33.13688 65.21150 98.34838 .65635 .26157 Jun 26:Red Sox 52 27 .598 101.4 60.6 31.79573 66.36945 98.16518 -0.18320 -0.01830 Jun 27:Red Sox 53 27 .605 102.5 59.5 33.53015 65.16603 98.69618 .53101 1.04786 Jun 28:Red Sox 54 27 .607 102.9 59.1 39.66297 59.22414 98.88711 .19093 2.03161 Jun 29:Red Sox 55 27 .608 103.4 58.6 41.86877 57.26149 99.13026 .24315 1.20856 Jun 30:Red Sox 55 28 .604 102.6 59.4 33.27948 65.36626 98.64574 -0.48452 .22687 Jul 1:Red Sox 56 28 .615 104.2 57.8 47.10527 51.97898 99.08425 .43851 1.39222 Jul 2:Red Sox 56 29 .605 102.8 59.2 34.02998 64.34470 98.37469 -0.70956 .02631 Jul 3:Red Sox 57 29 .601 103.0 59.0 37.14992 61.69894 98.84885 .47416 .68367 Jul 4:Red Sox 58 29 .604 103.7 58.3 38.66538 60.28967 98.95505 .10620 .25887 Jul 5:Red Sox 59 29 .607 104.4 57.6 40.28218 59.11863 99.40082 .44577 .51371 Jul 6:Red Sox 59 29 .607 104.4 57.6 40.36135 59.00059 99.36194 -0.03888 .23168 Jul 7:Red Sox 60 29 .608 104.7 57.3 46.72488 52.89493 99.61981 .25787 .97408 Jul 8:Red Sox 61 29 .613 105.5 56.5 48.00795 51.70681 99.71476 .09495 .63051 Jul 9:Red Sox 62 29 .615 105.9 56.1 48.87928 50.80385 99.68313 -0.03163 1.30844 Jul 10:Red Sox 63 29 .617 106.4 55.6 54.06603 45.64465 99.71069 .02757 .86185 Jul 11:Red Sox 64 29 .619 106.8 55.2 61.52477 38.26923 99.79399 .08330 .83894 Jul 12:Red Sox 65 29 .618 107.0 55.0 59.85688 39.91895 99.77584 -0.01815 .37502 Jul 13:Red Sox 66 29 .615 107.2 54.8 57.25628 42.57942 99.83571 .05987 .47377 Jul 14:Red Sox 66 30 .609 106.1 55.9 54.14052 45.67654 99.81705 -0.01866 .19724 Jul 15:Red Sox 67 30 .612 106.6 55.4 53.31503 46.53463 99.84966 .03262 .13490 Jul 16:Red Sox 68 30 .611 106.9 55.1 59.42125 40.47138 99.89263 .04297 .20950 Jul 17:Red Sox 68 30 .611 106.9 55.1 59.37940 40.51299 99.89239 -0.00024 .18169 Jul 18:Red Sox 68 30 .611 106.9 55.1 59.30342 40.58512 99.88854 -0.00385 .09455 Jul 19:Red Sox 68 30 .611 106.9 55.1 59.40265 40.48996 99.89261 .00407 .11677 Jul 20:Red Sox 68 30 .611 106.9 55.1 59.36473 40.52665 99.89138 -0.00123 .05567 Jul 21:Red Sox 69 30 .611 107.2 54.8 66.11205 33.80320 99.91525 .02387 .09821 Jul 22:Red Sox 69 31 .609 106.4 55.6 59.59987 40.31192 99.91178 -0.00347 .06212 Jul 23:Red Sox 70 31 .611 107.0 55.0 62.77068 37.15078 99.92146 .00968 .02883 Jul 24:Red Sox 71 31 .609 107.2 54.8 67.40985 32.50243 99.91228 -0.00919 .01989 Jul 25:Red Sox 71 32 .606 106.3 55.7 59.33273 40.56902 99.90175 -0.01053 .01321 Jul 26:Red Sox 71 32 .607 106.4 55.6 62.62072 37.25516 99.87588 -0.02587 -0.01673 Jul 27:Red Sox 71 33 .604 105.5 56.5 56.31988 43.50521 99.82510 -0.05077 -0.06628 Jul 28:Red Sox 72 33 .606 106.0 56.0 59.18280 40.70686 99.88966 .06456 -0.02559 Jul 29:Red Sox 73 33 .610 106.6 55.4 68.67232 31.26213 99.93444 .04478 .02266 Jul 30:Red Sox 74 33 .612 107.0 55.0 69.53180 30.40708 99.93888 .00444 .01742 Jul 31:Red Sox 75 33 .610 107.3 54.7 71.26840 28.67082 99.93922 .00034 .02694 Aug 1:Red Sox 75 34 .606 106.5 55.5 65.79093 34.14638 99.93732 -0.00190 .03557 Aug 2:Red Sox 75 34 .606 106.5 55.5 70.67828 29.25444 99.93273 -0.00459 .05685 Aug 3:Red Sox 76 34 .612 107.3 54.7 79.37422 20.56775 99.94197 .00924 .11687 Aug 4:Red Sox 77 34 .617 108.0 54.0 85.69575 14.25095 99.94670 .00473 .05704 Aug 5:Red Sox 78 34 .619 108.5 53.5 89.41805 10.52852 99.94657 -0.00013 .01213 Aug 6:Red Sox 79 34 .620 109.0 53.0 92.76145 7.18502 99.94647 -0.00010 .00759 Aug 7:Red Sox 79 34 .620 109.0 53.0 91.29715 8.65135 99.94850 .00203 .00928 Aug 8:Red Sox 80 34 .618 109.3 52.7 91.35540 8.59522 99.95062 .00212 .01331 Aug 9:Red Sox 81 34 .620 109.8 52.2 91.97495 7.97585 99.95080 .00018 .01807 Aug 10:Red Sox 81 35 .619 109.1 52.9 88.95065 11.00005 99.95070 -0.00010 .00873 Aug 11:Red Sox 82 35 .617 109.3 52.7 92.71260 7.23817 99.95077 .00007 .00407 Aug 12:Red Sox 84 35 .618 110.0 52.0 94.00180 5.95188 99.95368 .00291 .00711 Aug 13:Red Sox 85 35 .618 110.4 51.6 94.23630 5.71732 99.95362 -0.00006 .00715 Aug 14:Red Sox 85 35 .618 110.4 51.6 96.08760 3.86417 99.95177 -0.00185 .00327 Aug 15:Red Sox 86 35 .621 111.0 51.0 96.42990 3.53236 99.96226 .01049 .01163 Aug 16:Red Sox 86 36 .619 110.3 51.7 96.55875 3.39827 99.95702 -0.00523 .00623 Aug 17:Red Sox 86 36 .619 110.2 51.8 97.45810 2.49902 99.95712 .00010 .00642 Aug 18:Red Sox 87 36 .620 110.7 51.3 97.69215 2.27157 99.96372 .00660 .01295 Aug 19:Red Sox 88 36 .620 111.2 50.8 97.98675 1.98145 99.96820 .00448 .01452 Aug 20:Red Sox 88 37 .617 110.4 51.6 96.74545 3.22538 99.97083 .00263 .01721 Aug 21:Red Sox 88 38 .619 109.9 52.1 96.12485 3.84160 99.96645 -0.00438 .01469 Aug 22:Red Sox 88 39 .614 109.1 52.9 93.83525 6.13535 99.97060 .00414 .00834 Aug 23:Red Sox 89 39 .616 109.5 52.5 96.64745 3.32928 99.97673 .00613 .01971 Aug 24:Red Sox 90 39 .621 110.1 51.9 97.52835 2.45627 99.98462 .00789 .02750 Aug 25:Red Sox 90 40 .619 109.5 52.5 96.40990 3.57365 99.98355 -0.00107 .01983 Aug 26:Red Sox 90 41 .615 108.8 53.2 93.70485 6.27238 99.97723 -0.00632 .00903 Aug 27:Red Sox 90 42 .611 108.2 53.8 91.09775 8.88085 99.97860 .00137 .00777 Aug 28:Red Sox 90 42 .611 108.2 53.8 93.75250 6.22528 99.97778 -0.00082 .01133 Aug 29:Red Sox 91 42 .608 108.4 53.6 93.59290 6.39918 99.99208 .01430 .02148 Aug 30:Red Sox 92 42 .610 108.8 53.2 96.32825 3.66715 99.99540 .00332 .01867 Aug 31:Red Sox 93 42 .609 109.1 52.9 98.14905 1.84850 99.99755 .00215 .01293 Sep 1:Red Sox 93 43 .602 108.3 53.7 96.91645 3.08115 99.99760 .00005 .01405 Sep 2:Red Sox 94 43 .605 108.8 53.2 97.45825 2.54085 99.99910 .00150 .02187 Sep 3:Red Sox 94 44 .599 108.0 54.0 97.71810 2.28135 99.99945 .00035 .02085 Sep 4:Red Sox 95 44 .600 108.5 53.5 98.93825 1.06160 99.99985 .00040 .02206 Sep 5:Red Sox 96 44 .602 109.1 52.9 99.03730 .96257 99.99987 .00002 .00779 Sep 6:Red Sox 97 44 .599 109.5 52.5 99.56660 .43340 100.00000 .00013 .00460 Sep 7:Red Sox 97 44 .599 109.5 52.5 99.56725 .43275 100.00000 .00000 .00245 Sep 8:Red Sox 97 45 .599 109.0 53.0 99.23905 .76095 100.00000 .00000 .00240 Sep 9:Red Sox 97 46 .598 108.5 53.5 98.57430 1.42570 100.00000 .00000 .00090 Sep 10:Red Sox 98 46 .667 110.3 51.7 99.92655 .07345 100.00000 .00000 .00055 Sep 11:Red Sox 98 46 .600 109.0 53.0 99.28655 .71345 100.00000 .00000 .00015 Sep 12:Red Sox 99 46 .601 109.3 52.7 99.75185 .24815 100.00000 .00000 .00013 Sep 13:Red Sox 100 46 .601 109.6 52.4 99.91070 .08930 100.00000 .00000 .00000 Sep 14:Red Sox 101 46 .601 110.0 52.0 99.93425 .06575 100.00000 .00000 .00000 Sep 15:Red Sox 101 47 .596 109.2 52.8 99.87910 .12090 100.00000 .00000 .00000 Sep 16:Red Sox 102 47 .598 109.6 52.4 99.96890 .03110 100.00000 .00000 .00000 Sep 17:Red Sox 103 47 .599 109.9 52.1 99.99640 .00360 100.00000 .00000 .00000 Sep 18:Red Sox 103 47 .599 109.9 52.1 99.99630 .00370 100.00000 .00000 .00000 Sep 19:Red Sox 103 48 .600 109.5 52.5 99.99620 .00380 100.00000 .00000 .00000 Sep 20:Red Sox 103 49 .597 108.9 53.1 99.99430 .00570 100.00000 .00000 .00000 Sep 21:Red Sox 104 49 .634 104.0 49.0 100.00000 .00000 100.00000 .00000 .00000 Sep 22:Red Sox 105 49 .601 110.0 52.0 100.00000 .00000 100.00000 .00000 .00000 Sep 23:Red Sox 105 50 .600 109.5 52.5 100.00000 .00000 100.00000 .00000 .00000